Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 32

May 4, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
3 - 1
Strasbourg

Kechta (24', 65'), Ayew (90+6')
Salmier (41'), Kechta (54'), Desmas (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Guilbert (86')
Sissoko (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Strasbourg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: PSG 3-3 Le Havre
Saturday, April 27 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Strasbourg

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 1-3 Nice
Sunday, April 28 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 36.99%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Strasbourg
35.27% ( 0.31)	27.74% ( 0.11)	36.99% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 48.56% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.7% (

-0.38)

57.3% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.87% (

-0.3)

78.14% (

0.3)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.15% (

0.01)

30.86% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.87% (

0.01)

67.14% (

-0.01)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

-0.43)

29.78% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.15% (

-0.53)

65.85% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 35.26%

Strasbourg 36.99%

Draw 27.74%

Le Havre	Draw	Strasbourg
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 35.26%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 36.99%