Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.7%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Monaco
39.48% ( 0.63)	23.95% ( -0.03)	36.57% ( -0.59)

Both teams to score 61.6% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.33% (

0.13)

40.67% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.95% (

0.14)

63.06% (

-0.13)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.21% (

0.36)

20.79% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.55% (

0.56)

53.45% (

-0.56)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

-0.24)

22.23% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

-0.37)

55.65% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 39.48%

Monaco 36.57%

Draw 23.95%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.7% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.84% Total : 39.48%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.95%	1-2 @ 8.21% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.57%