Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 63.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 15.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Austria Klagenfurt win it was 0-1 (5.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.