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Ligue 1

Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Nantes

Monaco
4 - 0
Nantes

Ben Yedder (6'), Kehrer (10'), Camara (24' pen.), Ben Seghir (61')
Magassa (21')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Amian (36'), Sissoko (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: Montpellier 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Lille
Sunday, May 12 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 56.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 21.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawNantes
56.01% (-1.347 -1.35)22.52% (0.552 0.55)21.47% (0.798 0.8)
Both teams to score 55.53% (-0.656 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.24% (-1.444 -1.44)43.76% (1.447 1.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.85% (-1.429 -1.43)66.15% (1.432 1.43)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.54% (-0.931 -0.93)15.46% (0.935 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.68% (-1.77 -1.77)44.32% (1.774 1.77)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)34.32% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (-0.055 -0.05)71.03% (0.059000000000012 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 56.01%
    Nantes 21.47%
    Draw 22.52%
MonacoDrawNantes
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.303 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.226 -0.23)
3-0 @ 5.76% (-0.202 -0.2)
3-2 @ 3.29% (-0.126 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.87% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.188 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 56.01%
1-1 @ 10.59% (0.31 0.31)
0-0 @ 5.31% (0.328 0.33)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.67% (0.344 0.34)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.03% (0.18 0.18)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.08% (0.062 0.06)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 21.47%

How you voted: Monaco vs Nantes

Monaco
88.6%
Draw
6.8%
Nantes
4.5%
44
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
Nantes
3-3
Monaco
Mohamed (5' pen., 48'), Castelletto (15')
Castelletto (7'), Moutoussamy (64')
Minamino (27'), Ben Yedder (58'), Boadu (85')
Singo (9'), Golovin (54')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 30
Nantes
2-2
Monaco
Mohamed (65'), Blas (78')
Disasi (21'), Matazo (30')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 9
Monaco
4-1
Nantes
Embolo (2'), Ben Yedder (6', 28', 62' pen.)
Henrique (79' og.)
> Preview
Mar 2, 2022 8.15pm
Semi-Finals
Nantes
2-2
Monaco
(Aggregate 2-2 | Nantes win 4-2 on penalties)
Sidibe (21' og.), Moutoussamy (74')
Maripan (12'), Boadu (76')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 20
Nantes
0-0
Monaco
Kolo (22')
Diop (72'), Matazo (80')
> Preview