Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 34

May 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
1 - 2
Marseille

Bayo (90+7' pen.)
Sabbi (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aubameyang (64'), Murillo (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Le Havre
Friday, May 10 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Marseille

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Reims 1-0 Marseille
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Marseille
31.16% ( -0.55)	26.7% ( 0.33)	42.14% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 50.79% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.95% (

-1.48)

54.05% (

1.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.52% (

-1.26)

75.48% (

1.26)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-1.13)

31.96% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

-1.32)

68.41% (

1.32)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64% (

-0.55)

25.36% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85% (

-0.77)

60.15% (

0.77)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 31.16%

Marseille 42.13%

Draw 26.7%

Le Havre	Draw	Marseille
1-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.77% Total : 31.16%	1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.46) 2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.46) 1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 42.13%