Ligue 1 Gameweek 34
May 19, 2024 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Oceane
  • Emmanuel Sabbi 82' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Bayo 90'+7' goal
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 64'
  • goal Michael Murillo 77'

Le Havre vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2024 8.00pm
Nice 1 - 0 Le Havre
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Mohamed Bayo

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2024 8.00pm
Reims 1 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.

Result

Le Havre 31.16% (-0.55)
Draw 26.7% (+0.33)
Marseille 42.14% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.79% (-1.24)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.95% (-1.49)
Under 2.5 54.05% (+1.49)
Over 3.5 24.52% (-1.26)
Under 3.5 75.48% (+1.27)
Over 4.5 11.06% (-0.80)
Under 4.5 88.95% (+0.81)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5 68.04% (-1.14)
Under 0.5 31.96% (+1.14)
Over 1.5 31.59% (-1.32)
Under 1.5 68.41% (+1.33)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 74.64% (-0.56)
Under 0.5 25.36% (+0.56)
Over 1.5 39.85% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 60.15% (+0.78)

Score analysis

Le Havre 31.16%
Draw 26.7%
Marseille 42.13%
Le Havre
1-0 @ 9.24% (+0.25)
2-1 @ 7.24% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.15)
3-0 @ 2.01% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 31.16%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.15)
0-0 @ 8.1% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.19)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.7%
Marseille
0-1 @ 11.11% (+0.46)
1-2 @ 8.7% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 7.63% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 3.49% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.37% (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 42.13%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Arouna Sangante 18' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 21' goal
  • Ismaila Sarr 84' goal
  • yellowcard Rassoul N'Diaye 12'
  • redcard Rassoul N'Diaye 40'
  • yellowcard Josue Casimir 50'