Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 2

Aug 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Parc des Princes

PSG
6 - 0
Montpellier

Barcola (4', 53'), Asensio (24'), Hakimi (58'), Zaire-Emery (60'), Kang-in (82')
Dembele (55')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sacko (33'), Chotard (45+2'), Kouyate (50'), Khazri (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Le Havre 1-4 PSG
Friday, August 16 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Montpellier 1-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, August 18 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 72.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 11.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Montpellier HSC
72.43% ( 2.98)	15.73% ( -0.34)	11.84% ( -2.64)

Both teams to score 58.23% (

-7.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.04% (

-5.23)

29.96% (

5.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.86% (

-6.58)

51.14% (

6.58)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.79% (

-0.69)

7.21% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.84% (

-1.85)

26.16% (

1.85)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.75% (

-7.35)

37.24% (

7.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.97% (

-8.04)

74.03% (

8.04)

Score Analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 72.43%

Montpellier HSC 11.84%

Draw 15.73%

Paris Saint-Germain	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 9.28% ( 2.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 8.14% ( 1.53) 3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.06% ( 1.74) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.84) 4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.85) 5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.35) 5-1 @ 2.78% ( -0.2) 4-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.68) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.42) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.11) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) Other @ 4.1% Total : 72.43%	1-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.77) 0-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.74) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.63) Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.73%	1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.44) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.3) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.64) 0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.43) Other @ 1.81% Total : 11.84%