Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Montpellier HSC
67.69% ( -0.86)	18.23% ( 0.7)	14.09% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 55.4% (

-2.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.3% (

-3.08)

36.7% (

3.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.14% (

-3.43)

58.86% (

3.43)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.05% (

-1.02)

9.95% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.09% (

-2.41)

32.91% (

2.41)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.52% (

-1.78)

38.48% (

1.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.77% (

-1.75)

75.24% (

1.75)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 67.68%

Montpellier HSC 14.09%

Draw 18.23%

Fiorentina	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.63) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.92) 3-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 4.32% ( -0.34) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.29) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.27) 5-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.26) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.18) Other @ 4.07% Total : 67.68%	1-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.55) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.23%	1-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.9% Total : 14.09%