Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 6.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Artemio Franchi
  • Antonin Barak 7' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Ikone 42' goal
  • Modibo Sagnan 72' goal
  • goal Moussa Al Tamari 64'

Fiorentina vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 30, 2024 7.45pm
Hull City 2 - 2 Fiorentina

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 31, 2024 5.00pm
Montpellier 1 - 2 St Etienne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 67.69%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fiorentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fiorentina.

Result

Fiorentina 67.69% (-0.87)
Draw 18.23% (+0.71)
Montpellier HSC 14.09% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.4% (-2.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.3% (-3.08)
Under 2.5 36.7% (+3.08)
Over 3.5 41.14% (-3.43)
Under 3.5 58.86% (+3.43)
Over 4.5 23.06% (-2.87)
Under 4.5 76.94% (+2.87)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 90.05% (-1.02)
Under 0.5 9.95% (+1.03)
Over 1.5 67.09% (-2.41)
Under 1.5 32.91% (+2.42)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 61.52% (-1.79)
Under 0.5 38.48% (+1.79)
Over 1.5 24.77% (-1.75)
Under 1.5 75.24% (+1.75)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 67.68%
Draw 18.23%
Montpellier HSC 14.09%
Fiorentina
2-0 @ 10.19% (+0.63)
2-1 @ 9.74% (+0.16)
1-0 @ 8.84% (+0.92)
3-0 @ 7.84% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 7.49% (-0.24)
4-0 @ 4.52% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 4.32% (-0.35)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.30)
5-0 @ 2.09% (-0.17)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.28)
5-1 @ 1.99% (-0.26)
Other @ 5.02%
Total : 67.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.44% (+0.51)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 3.83% (+0.56)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.16)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.23%
Montpellier HSC
1-2 @ 4.03% (+0.06)
0-1 @ 3.66% (+0.38)
0-2 @ 1.75% (+0.11)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 14.09%