Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Saint-Etienne
30.68% ( -0.05)	23.92% ( 0)	45.4% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 59.77% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.74% (

-0.05)

42.26% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.33% (

-0.05)

64.66% (

0.05)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.63% (

-0.06)

26.36% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.49% (

-0.08)

61.5% (

0.08)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.16% (

-0)

18.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.72% (

-0)

50.28% (

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 30.68%

Saint-Etienne 45.4%

Draw 23.92%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Saint-Etienne
2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.41% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.31% Total : 30.68%	1-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.38% Total : 45.4%