Ligue 1 Playoffs | Finals | 1st Leg

May 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
2 - 1
Metz

(Saint-Etienne win 4-3 on aggregate)

Sissoko (19'), Cardona (80')
Macon (34'), Sissoko (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Traore (45')
N'Doram (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Ligue 1 playoff between Saint-Etienne and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: St Etienne 2-0 Rodez AF
Friday, May 24 at 7.30pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Metz

All competitions

Last Game: Metz 0-2 PSG
Sunday, May 19 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Metz had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Metz
61.67%	22.03%	16.3%

Both teams to score 47.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.72%

49.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.67%

71.33%

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53%

15.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.66%

44.34%

Metz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.71%

43.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.46%

79.54%

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 61.66%

Metz 16.3%

Draw 22.03%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Metz
1-0 @ 12.49% 2-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 9.77% 3-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 6.08% 4-0 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 2.83% 3-2 @ 2.54% 5-0 @ 1.26% 4-2 @ 1.19% 5-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.14% Total : 61.66%	1-1 @ 10.46% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 4.09% Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.03%	0-1 @ 5.61% 1-2 @ 4.38% 0-2 @ 2.35% 1-3 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.6% Total : 16.3%