Ligue 2 | Gameweek 35

Apr 27, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 0
Caen

Moueffek (5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Abdi (44'), Seube (45'), Brahimi (69'), Henry (76')
Traore (90+2')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Saint-Etienne and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Grenoble 0-2 St Etienne
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Caen

All competitions

Last Game: Caen 2-1 Annecy
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 57.89%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Caen had a probability of 19.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Caen
57.89% ( 1.08)	22.72% ( -0.41)	19.39% ( -0.66)

Both teams to score 51.61% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.63% (

0.84)

47.37% (

-0.84)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.41% (

0.78)

69.59% (

-0.78)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.92% (

0.67)

16.08% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.54% (

1.21)

45.46% (

-1.21)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

-0.22)

38.5% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.75% (

-0.21)

75.25% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 57.88%

Caen 19.39%

Draw 22.71%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Caen
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.16) 4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.88%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.71%	0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 19.39%