AJ Auxerre
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Caen

Auxerre
2 - 1
Caen

Raveloson (76'), Jubal (82')
Hein (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kyeremeh (10')
Lebreton (38')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Auxerre and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Auxerre
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 0-1 Paris FC
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Caen had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawCaen
56.26% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)23.3% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)20.44% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 51.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (0.007000000000005 0.01)48.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (0.0039999999999907 0)17.02% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)47.16% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (0.0020000000000024 0)38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23%74.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 56.25%
    Caen 20.44%
    Draw 23.3%
AuxerreDrawCaen
1-0 @ 11.45%
2-0 @ 10.13%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 5.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-0 @ 0.94%
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 56.25%
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.3%
0-1 @ 6.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.36%
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.73%
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 20.44%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 11
Caen
1-1
Auxerre
Aye (52' og.)
Ntim (42')
Abdi (6' og.)
Jubal (40')
Apr 23, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 35
Caen
1-1
Auxerre
Deminguet (89')
Cisse (41'), Abdi (83'), da Costa (90')
Charbonnier (40')
Arcus (55'), Ndom (78')
Autret (48')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Auxerre
2-2
Caen
Riou (45+1' og.), Jubal (81')
Pellenard (53')
Mendy (13'), Vandermersch (76')
Vandermersch (90+1')
May 1, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 36
Caen
0-0
Auxerre
Fouda (27'), Deminguet (54'), Traore (86')
Dugimont (57'), Camara (75'), Bellugou (85')
Jan 5, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 18
Auxerre
1-1
Caen
Dugimont (53')
Lloris (3')
Hein (90+2')
Jeannot (81')
Vandermersch (6')
rhs 2.0


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