Ligue 2 | Gameweek 27
Mar 2, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
Caen

Pau
2 - 3
Caen

Boli (77'), Ngom (90+1')
Ahoussou (65'), Gaspar (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mendy (31'), Kyeremeh (69'), Salama (85')
Daubin (61')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Caen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Last Game: Grenoble 0-1 Pau
Saturday, February 24 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Caen

All competitions
Last Game: Caen 2-0 Angers
Monday, February 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Pau had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
PauDrawCaen
30.03% (-0.383 -0.38)25.65% (0.082000000000001 0.08)44.32% (0.305 0.31)
Both teams to score 53.56% (-0.457 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.77% (-0.505 -0.51)50.23% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81% (-0.45 -0.45)72.19% (0.452 0.45)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.524 -0.52)30.8% (0.526 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.623 -0.62)67.08% (0.625 0.63)
Caen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)22.6% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11)56.21% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Pau 30.03%
    Caen 44.32%
    Draw 25.65%
PauDrawCaen
1-0 @ 8.2% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.83% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.9% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 30.03%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.96% (0.141 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.65%
0-1 @ 10.35% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 9.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.7% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.82% (0.052 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.017 0.02)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 44.32%

Head to Head
Aug 12, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 2
Caen
2-0
Pau
Daubin (38'), Mendy (45+3' pen.)

Kante (36')
Kante (58')
Jun 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Pau
1-0
Caen
George (31')
D'Almeida (35')
D'Almeida (76')

Thomas (35'), Sylla (90+2')
> Preview
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Pau
Abdi (23')
Saivet (7')
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Pau
1-0
Caen
Koffi (59')
Daubin (54')

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Sep 11, 2021 6pm
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Caen
1-2
Pau
Rivierez (23')
Zady (31')
Gomis (42'), Armand (59')
Daubin (37'), Lambert Evans (71')