Ligue 2 | Gameweek 24

Feb 10, 2024 at 6pm UK

Stade Michel d'Ornano

Caen
2 - 0
Amiens

Abdi (81'), Mendy (84')
Abdi (59'), Autret (64')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kaiboue (53'), Boya (78')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Caen and Amiens.

Form, Standings, Stats

Caen

All competitions

Ligue 2

Last Game: Grenoble 5-1 Caen
Saturday, February 3 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Amiens

All competitions

Ligue 2

Last Game: Amiens 1-1 Paris FC
Saturday, February 3 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caen win with a probability of 47.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Amiens had a probability of 25.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Caen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for an Amiens win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caen would win this match.

Result
Caen	Draw	Amiens
47.81% ( 0.53)	26.43% ( -0.02)	25.76% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 48.3% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33% (

-0.26)

55.67% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.18% (

-0.21)

76.82% (

0.21)

Caen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.69% (

0.14)

23.31% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.75% (

0.2)

57.25% (

-0.2)

Amiens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.97% (

-0.58)

37.03% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.18% (

-0.58)

73.81% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Caen 47.8%

Amiens 25.76%

Draw 26.42%

Caen	Draw	Amiens
1-0 @ 12.56% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.8%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.76% Total : 25.76%