Ligue 2 | Gameweek 21
Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Du Hameau Idron 1
Saint-Etienne

Pau
0 - 1
St Etienne


Kouassi (36'), D'Almeida (85'), Kamara (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Chambost (38')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Pau and Saint-Etienne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pau

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Rodez AF 2-1 Pau
Saturday, January 13 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 0-0 Laval
Saturday, January 13 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Pau had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Pau win was 1-0 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.

Result
PauDrawSaint-Etienne
26.48% (0.044 0.04)24.37% (-0.058 -0.06)49.14% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.19% (0.221 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.07% (0.274 0.27)46.93% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.82% (0.254 0.25)69.18% (-0.258 -0.26)
Pau Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (0.179 0.18)31.73% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.84% (0.203 0.2)68.15% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (0.111 0.11)19.15% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (0.184 0.18)50.8% (-0.187 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Pau 26.48%
    Saint-Etienne 49.14%
    Draw 24.37%
PauDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 6.98% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-1 @ 6.62% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 4% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.53% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.53% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 26.48%
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.08% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 10.04% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.3% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.25% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-3 @ 3.01% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 49.14%

How you voted: Pau vs St Etienne

Pau
42.9%
Draw
42.9%
Saint-Etienne
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 15
St Etienne
1-2
Pau
Charbonnier (9')
Bouchouari (54'), Tardieu (90'), Briancon (90+1')
Saivet (75' pen.), D'Almeida (78')
Kante (14'), Sylla (62'), D'Almeida (90+1')
Feb 25, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 25
St Etienne
2-0
Pau
Wadji (29'), Krasso (77' pen.)
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Pau
2-2
St Etienne
Saivet (68', 79')
Mouton (34'), Pintor (85' pen.)
rhs 2.0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!