Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Laval win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Pau had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Laval win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Pau win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.