Ligue 2 | Gameweek 28

Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK

Stade Geoffroy-Guichard

St Etienne
1 - 0
Auxerre

Cardona (55')
Batubinsika (24'), Nade (68')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hein (9'), Pellenard (78'), Jubal (85')

Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Saint-Etienne and Auxerre.

Form, Standings, Stats

Saint-Etienne

All competitions

Last Game: Paris FC 0-0 St Etienne
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Auxerre

All competitions

Last Game: Auxerre 0-0 Valenciennes
Saturday, March 2 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 0-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Saint-Etienne in this match.

Result
Saint-Etienne	Draw	Auxerre
39.61% ( -0.37)	25.33% ( -0.03)	35.05% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 56.39% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.66% (

0.21)

47.34% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.44% (

0.2)

69.56% (

-0.19)

Saint-Etienne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

-0.09)

23.65% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.25% (

-0.14)

57.75% (

0.14)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

0.34)

26.14% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.78% (

0.45)

61.22% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Saint-Etienne 39.61%

Auxerre 35.05%

Draw 25.32%

Saint-Etienne	Draw	Auxerre
1-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.61%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.32%	0-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.05%