Ligue 2 | Gameweek 23
Feb 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Marcel-Tribut
Saint-Etienne

Dunkerque
1 - 0
St Etienne

Sangante (81')
Keita (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Monconduit (26'), Larsonneur (82')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Dunkerque and Saint-Etienne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dunkerque

All competitions
Ligue 2
Last Game: Paris FC 1-2 Dunkerque
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 0-1 Amiens
Saturday, January 27 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 52.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Dunkerque had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Dunkerque win it was 1-0 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
DunkerqueDrawSaint-Etienne
22.69% (-0.397 -0.4)24.43% (0.526 0.53)52.88% (-0.127 -0.13)
Both teams to score 51.06% (-2.112 -2.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (-2.559 -2.56)50.48% (2.56 2.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (-2.308 -2.31)72.41% (2.308 2.31)
Dunkerque Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.07% (-1.791 -1.79)36.93% (1.791 1.79)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28% (-1.827 -1.83)73.71% (1.828 1.83)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.95% (-1.02 -1.02)19.05% (1.02 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.37% (-1.718 -1.72)50.63% (1.718 1.72)
Score Analysis
    Dunkerque 22.69%
    Saint-Etienne 52.87%
    Draw 24.42%
DunkerqueDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 7.01% (0.382 0.38)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-0 @ 3.49% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.16% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.69%
1-1 @ 11.61% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 7.03% (0.699 0.7)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.286 -0.29)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.81 0.81)
0-2 @ 9.67% (0.374 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 5.35% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.227 -0.23)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-4 @ 2.21% (-0.171 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 52.87%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 8
St Etienne
2-0
Dunkerque
Sissoko (83' pen.), Cafaro (86')
Bouchouari (38')

Bilingi (53'), Boissier (81'), Balijon (81')