Ligue 2 | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Saint-Etienne

Bastia
0 - 4
St Etienne


Roncaglia (22'), Alfarela (45+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Chambost (16'), Mbuku (45+3' pen., 78'), Cardona (67')
Mbuku (45+4')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Saint-Etienne.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Troyes 2-0 Bastia
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Saint-Etienne

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Auxerre
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saint-Etienne win with a probability of 46.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Bastia had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saint-Etienne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Bastia win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saint-Etienne would win this match.

Result
BastiaDrawSaint-Etienne
25.4% (0.038999999999998 0.04)27.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)46.89% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.53% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.63% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)60.38% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.48% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)80.52% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.04% (0.022999999999996 0.02)39.96% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)76.62% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Saint-Etienne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.18% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)25.83% (0.044 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.21% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)60.79% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 25.4%
    Saint-Etienne 46.89%
    Draw 27.7%
BastiaDrawSaint-Etienne
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 5.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 1.33% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 25.4%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.32% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 13.97%
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.68% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.92% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 46.89%

Head to Head
Dec 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
St Etienne
3-2
Bastia
Chambost (5', 9'), Cafaro (63')
Tardieu (42'), Briancon (51')
Alfarela (71' pen.), Keita (76')
Vincent (41'), Roncaglia (48')
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Bastia
2-0
St Etienne
Van Den Kerkhof (50' pen.), Ducrocq (65')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
St Etienne
5-0
Bastia
Macon (8'), Krasso (19', 33', 36' pen., 61')
Bakayoko (57'), Eric Bile (83')

Palun (35'), Sainati (87')
Mar 4, 2017 7pm
Bastia
0-0
St Etienne
Danic (70')
Saint-Ruf (44')
Corgnet (77')
Lemoine (66')
Sep 18, 2016 4pm
St Etienne
1-0
Bastia
Hamouma (90')
Tannane (65'), Kristian Selnaes (83')

Leca (6'), Cioni (29'), Crivelli (89')