Ligue 2 | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
Bastia1 - 0Ajaccio
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valenciennes 3-1 Bastia
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Concarneau
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.
Result | ||
Bastia | Draw | Ajaccio |
44.2% ( -0.11) | 28.54% ( 0.14) | 27.25% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 43.67% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.87% ( -0.47) | 62.13% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.16% ( -0.35) | 81.83% ( 0.35) |
Bastia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.97% ( -0.28) | 28.03% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.32% ( -0.36) | 63.68% ( 0.36) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.67% ( -0.29) | 39.33% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.97% ( -0.27) | 76.03% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Bastia 44.2%
Ajaccio 27.25%
Draw 28.54%
Bastia | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 14.02% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.66% Total : 44.2% | 1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.54% | 0-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.46% Total : 27.25% |
How you voted: Bastia vs Ajaccio
Bastia
58.8%Draw
29.4%Ajaccio
11.8%17
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Sep 25, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Bastia
2-0
Ajaccio
Apr 20, 2014 4pm
Dec 4, 2013 6pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-27 23:00:21
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auxerre | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 64 |
2 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 63 |
3 | Angers | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 61 |
4 | Rodez AFRodez AF | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 56 |
5 | Paris FCParis FC | 35 | 15 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 55 |
6 | Laval | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 52 |
7 | PauPau | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 51 |
8 | Caen | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 51 |
9 | GuingampGuingamp | 35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
10 | AmiensAmiens | 35 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 46 |
11 | Bastia | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 46 |
12 | Ajaccio | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 46 |
13 | Grenoble | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 39 | -1 | 45 |
14 | Bordeaux | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 44 |
15 | Annecy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 46 | -2 | 42 |
16 | DunkerqueDunkerque | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 41 |
17 | Troyes | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 37 |
18 | Quevilly | 35 | 6 | 17 | 12 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 35 |
19 | Concarneau | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
20 | Valenciennes | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 23 | 50 | -27 | 23 |
> Ligue 2 Full Table |
1
Late Chelsea winner denied in pulsating four-goal Aston Villa draw
2
Chelsea make three changes for Aston Villa game
3
Arsenal 'want up to four marquee signings this summer'
4
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka out to emulate Ian Wright feat in North London derby
5
'It was a mistake, I apologise' - Amorim regrets holding talks with PL club
6
West Ham vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups
7
Barcelona 'planning lucrative new deal for Man United-linked centre-back'
8
Chelsea 'ready to sell four home-grown stars this summer'
9
Arsenal 'leading Man United, Man City in race for Brighton attacker'
10
Huddersfield all but relegated from Championship
Sport News 24/7