Ligue 2 | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
AC Ajaccio

Bastia
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Alfarela (54')
Vincent (29'), Bianchini (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ibayi (76'), Chanot (82')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bastia

All competitions
Last Game: Valenciennes 3-1 Bastia
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Ajaccio

All competitions
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Concarneau
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
BastiaDrawAjaccio
44.2% (-0.109 -0.11)28.54% (0.141 0.14)27.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.87% (-0.471 -0.47)62.13% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16% (-0.347 -0.35)81.83% (0.348 0.35)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.283 -0.28)28.03% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.362 -0.36)63.68% (0.364 0.36)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)39.33% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97% (-0.273 -0.27)76.03% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 44.2%
    Ajaccio 27.25%
    Draw 28.54%
BastiaDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 14.02% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.02% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 10.28% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Bastia vs Ajaccio

Bastia
58.8%
Draw
29.4%
Ajaccio
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Ajaccio
2-0
Bastia
Bammou (59'), Barreto (89')

Roncaglia (77')
Tavares (43')
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Roncaglia (42')
Boyer (10'), Robic (26'), Palun (49'), Sylla (85'), Santelli (87')
Sep 25, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Bastia
2-0
Ajaccio
Santelli (49' pen.), Schur (63')
Schur (61')

Courtet (34'), Kalulu (42'), Ismael (51')
Apr 20, 2014 4pm
Bastia
2-1
Ajaccio
Raspentino (32'), Squillaci (88')
Diakite (17')
Camara (4')
Faty (41'), Hengbart (67')
> Match Report
Dec 4, 2013 6pm
Ajaccio
1-1
Bastia
Eduardo (83')
Goncalves (7'), Dielna (37')
Nadeau (62')
Raspentino (9')
Palmieri (79')
> Match Report