Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 3-1 (7.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Girona	Draw	Montpellier HSC
60.86% ( 0.16)	19.65% ( -0.08)	19.48% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 62.55% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.92% (

0.28)

33.08% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.18% (

0.32)

54.81% (

-0.33)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.39% (

0.12)

10.6% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.6% (

0.28)

34.4% (

-0.28)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

0.09)

30.03% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.84% (

0.11)

66.15% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Girona 60.86%

Montpellier HSC 19.48%

Draw 19.65%

Girona	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 4.05% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 60.86%	1-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.65%	1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.83% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.48%