Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Girona |
| 35.62% ( | 26.75% ( | 37.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.61% ( | 53.39% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.07% ( | 74.93% ( |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( | 28.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.47% ( | 64.53% ( |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.49% ( | 27.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.98% ( | 63.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 3-1 @ 3.3% ( 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.62% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 3-3 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0-2 @ 6.58% ( 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.03% Total : 37.62% |