Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Montpellier HSC
62.77% ( -0.42)	19.04% ( 0.14)	18.19% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 62.35% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.75% (

-0.2)

32.25% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.14% (

-0.23)

53.86% (

0.22)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.1% (

-0.16)

9.89% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.22% (

-0.37)

32.78% (

0.36)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.2% (

0.16)

30.8% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.93% (

0.19)

67.07% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Southampton 62.77%

Montpellier HSC 18.19%

Draw 19.04%

Southampton	Draw	Montpellier HSC
2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.66% Total : 62.77%	1-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.04%	1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.46% Total : 18.19%