Club Friendlies 3
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Southampton vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 62.77%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 18.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.3%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result
Southampton
62.77%
▼
(-0.43)
Draw
19.04%
▲
(+0.14)
Montpellier HSC
18.19%
▲
(+0.28)
Both Teams to Score:
62.35%
▲
(+0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.75%
▼
(-0.20)
Under 2.5
32.25%
▲
(+0.20)
Over 3.5
46.14%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 3.5
53.86%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 4.5
27.28%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 4.5
72.71%
▲
(+0.20)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
90.1%
▼
(-0.17)
Under 0.5
9.89%
▲
(+0.16)
Over 1.5
67.22%
▼
(-0.37)
Under 1.5
32.78%
▲
(+0.36)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5
69.2%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
30.8%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
32.93%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
67.07%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Southampton
62.77%
Draw
19.04%
Montpellier HSC
18.19%
Southampton
2-1
@
9.6%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 62.77%
2-0 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 7.4% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7.05% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.07)
3-2 @ 4.36% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 3.64% ▼ (-0.07)
4-2 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.04)
5-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.05)
5-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.65%
Total : 62.77%
Draw
1-1
@
8.3%
▲
(+0.07)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.04%
2-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 19.04%
Montpellier HSC
1-2
@
4.89%
▲
(+0.07)
0-1 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 18.19%
0-1 @ 3.59% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.11% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 18.19%