Championship
May 17, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 49' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 78' goal
  • Adam Armstrong 86' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Mowatt 75'
  • yellowcard John Swift 82'
  • yellowcard Cedric Kipre 89'
  • yellowcard Yann M'Vila 90'+4'
  • goal Cedric Kipre 90'+7'

Southampton vs West Bromwich Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2024 2.15pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions
Last game
May 12, 2024 2.15pm
West Brom 0 - 0 Southampton
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Brandon Thomas-Asante

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result

Southampton 54.82% (-0.18)
Draw 22.32% (+0.03)
West Bromwich Albion 22.85% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.13% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.79% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 41.21% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 36.39% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 63.6% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 19.32% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 80.68% (-0.05)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 85.03% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 14.97% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 56.6% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 43.4% (+0.08)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5 68.36% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 31.63% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 31.95% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 68.04% (-0.19)

Score analysis

Southampton 54.82%
Draw 22.32%
West Bromwich Albion 22.85%
Southampton
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.99% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.54% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 6.22% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.41% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.58% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.57% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.7% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.12% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 54.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.35% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.37% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.32%
West Bromwich Albion
1-2 @ 5.96% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 5.45% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 22.85%

Head to Head

Championship
May 12, 2024 2.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Hawthorns
  • Mikey Johnston 56' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Flynn Downes 36'
  • yellowcard Taylor Harwood-Bellis 73'
Championship Gameweek 33
Feb 16, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Hawthorns
  • Brandon Thomas-Asante 44' yellowcard
  • Carlos Corberan 45' redcard
  • Okay Yokuslu 50' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Fraser 14'
  • yellowcard William Smallbone 55'
  • goal David Brooks 73'
Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • William Smallbone 5' goal
  • Flynn Downes 36' yellowcard
  • Russell Martin 37' yellowcard
  • Mason Holgate 43' yellowcard
  • Adam Armstrong 79' goal
  • Carlos Alcaraz 86' yellowcard
  • goal Kyle Bartley 65'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 12, 2021 6.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Matheus Pereira 32' goal
  • Matt Phillips 35' goal
  • Callum Robinson 69' goal
  • yellowcard James Ward-Prowse 37'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Oct 4, 2020 12.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Moussa Djenepo 41' goal
  • Moussa Djenepo 50' yellowcard
  • Kyle Walker-Peters 53' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 69' goal
  • yellowcard Jake Livermore 26'
FA Cup
Feb 17, 2018 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Grzegorz Krychowiak 30' yellowcard
  • James McClean 42' yellowcard
  • Salomon Rondon 58' goal
  • goal Wesley Hoedt 11'
  • yellowcard Guido Carrillo 45'
  • goal Dusan Tadic 56'
  • yellowcard Mario Lemina 75'