Championship

Championship | 2nd Leg

May 17, 2024 at 8pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
3 - 1
West Brom

(Southampton win 3-1 on aggregate)

Smallbone (49'), Armstrong (78', 86' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Kipre (90+7')
Mowatt (75'), Swift (82'), Kipre (89'), M'Vila (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Southampton claim a comfortable 3-1 win over West Bromwich Albion to seal their place in the Championship playoff final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Southampton and West Bromwich Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 12 at 2.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

West Bromwich Albion

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Southampton
Sunday, May 12 at 2.15pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 22.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.99%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 1-2 (5.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Southampton	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
54.82% ( -0.18)	22.32% ( 0.02)	22.85% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 58.13% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.79% (

0.06)

41.21% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.39% (

0.06)

63.6% (

-0.06)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.03% (

-0.04)

14.97% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.6% (

-0.07)

43.4% (

0.07)

West Bromwich Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.36% (

0.16)

31.63% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.95% (

0.19)

68.04% (

-0.19)

Score Analysis

Southampton 54.82%

West Bromwich Albion 22.85%

Draw 22.32%

Southampton	Draw	West Bromwich Albion
2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.54% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 54.82%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.32%	1-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.65% Total : 22.85%