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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Sunderland

West Brom
0 - 1
Sunderland


Thomas-Asante (42'), Furlong (63'), Wallace (68'), Kipre (86')
Thomas-Asante (43')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ekwah (45+2')
Hume (31'), Alese (80'), Styles (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Rotherham
Wednesday, April 10 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 0-0 Sunderland
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-0 Sunderland

West Brom are cruising towards the playoffs, and we are expecting another solid home performance to all but secure a top-six standing for the Baggies. Sunderland had to work extremely hard to earn a point at Elland Road last time out, however we feel that they will be unable to repeat the trick at The Hawthorns. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.19%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
51.19% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08) 24.21% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 24.6% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.23% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)47.77% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.04% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)69.96% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)18.67% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)50% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.27% (0.018000000000001 0.02)33.73% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.62% (0.020999999999997 0.02)70.38% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 51.19%
    Sunderland 24.6%
    Draw 24.21%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.87% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.3% (0.015 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.21%
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.018 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.72% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.26% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.6%

How you voted: West Brom vs Sunderland

West Bromwich Albion
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
Sunderland
0.0%
32
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Sunderland
2-1
West Brom
Ballard (70'), Neill (84')
Ballard (34')
Thomas-Asante (86')
Sarmiento (51'), Molumby (54'), Chalobah (81'), Furlong (90+3'), Thomas-Asante (90'), Pipa (90+6')
Apr 23, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 44
West Brom
1-2
Sunderland
Swift (45+1' pen.)
Cirkin (51', 84')
Dec 12, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 22
Sunderland
1-2
West Brom
Diallo (19' pen.)
Rogic (70'), Dike (82')
Jan 21, 2017 3pm
Oct 1, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
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