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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 47.38% ( | 23.71% ( | 28.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.39% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.73% ( | 42.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.33% ( | 64.67% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( | 18.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.07% ( | 48.93% ( |
| Blackburn Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.46% ( | 27.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.95% ( | 63.05% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland | Draw | Blackburn Rovers |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-0 @ 7.29% ( 3-1 @ 5.36% ( 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 4-2 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 3.65% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 3-3 @ 1.49% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.71% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0-1 @ 6.41% ( 0-2 @ 4.13% ( 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0-3 @ 1.78% ( 1-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.9% Total : 28.91% |