Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 28.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.