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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 33.22% ( | 27.07% ( | 39.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.31% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.04% ( | 54.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.76% ( | 76.24% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( | 31.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( | 67.32% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( | 27.07% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( | 62.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% ( 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 2-0 @ 5.76% ( 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 3-2 @ 1.92% ( Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.22% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 8.4% ( 2-2 @ 4.91% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.07% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0-3 @ 3.12% ( 2-3 @ 2.14% ( 1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.7% |