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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Sunderland

Cardiff
0 - 2
Sunderland


Wintle (64'), Bowler (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aouchiche (12' pen.), Bellingham (27')
Styles (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, March 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 0-0 QPR
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
33.22% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)27.07% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)39.71% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (0.044000000000004 0.04)54.96% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (0.036000000000001 0.04)76.24% (-0.038000000000011 -0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.01% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.32% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.042000000000002 0.04)27.07% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (0.058 0.06)62.45% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 33.22%
    Sunderland 39.7%
    Draw 27.07%
Cardiff CityDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 9.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.4% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.39% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 39.7%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Sunderland

Cardiff City
64.1%
Draw
20.3%
Sunderland
15.6%
64
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Sunderland
0-1
Cardiff

Ba (9'), Burstow (58')
McGuinness (87')
Siopis (55'), Colwill (77')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cardiff
0-1
Sunderland
Cirkin (60')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Sunderland
0-1
Cardiff
Harris (49')
Jan 13, 2018 12.30pm
Cardiff
4-0
Sunderland
Paterson (46', 80'), Ralls (55'), Pilkington (90')
Morrison (85')

Oviedo (41'), Gooch (45')
Ndong (49')
Sep 23, 2017 3pm
Sunderland
1-2
Cardiff
Gooch (53' pen.)
Cattermole (11'), Browning (70'), Kone (73')
Bryson (7'), Ralls (73' pen.)
Richards (19'), Gunnarsson (60'), Ralls (81')