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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 44.13% ( | 25.95% ( | 29.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.48% ( | 51.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.68% ( | 73.32% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.75% ( | 23.25% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.84% ( | 57.16% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.46% ( | 31.54% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.07% ( | 67.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 2-0 @ 7.8% ( 3-1 @ 4.38% ( 3-0 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.6% ( 4-0 @ 1.39% ( 4-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 12.34% 0-0 @ 7.33% ( 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 3-3 @ 0.97% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 1-3 @ 2.74% ( 2-3 @ 2% ( 0-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.84% Total : 29.92% |