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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 17.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Sunderland win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 61.48% ( | 21.19% | 17.33% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.75% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.05% | 43.95% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.67% | 66.33% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.22% ( | 13.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.9% ( | 41.09% |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.18% | 38.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.45% | 75.55% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.94% ( 3-1 @ 6.57% 4-0 @ 3.44% 4-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 3.11% 4-2 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.36% 5-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.93% Total : 61.47% | 1-1 @ 10.03% 0-0 @ 5.35% 2-2 @ 4.7% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.19% | 0-1 @ 5.06% 1-2 @ 4.75% 0-2 @ 2.4% 1-3 @ 1.5% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.15% Total : 17.33% |