Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.09%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Coventry City in this match.