Championship Gameweek 38
Leeds
Mar 17, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road
Millwall
  • Willy Gnonto 18' yellowcard
  • Junior Firpo 29' yellowcard
  • Willy Gnonto 33' goal
  • Daniel James 79' goal
  • Ilia Gruev 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 18'
  • yellowcard Zian Flemming 25'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 53'
  • yellowcard George Honeyman 60'

Leeds United vs Millwall - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2024 8.00pm
Sheff Weds 0 - 2 Leeds
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
Millwall 1 - 0 Birmingham
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result

Leeds United 72.3% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 17.9% ▲ (+0.17)
Millwall 9.8% ▼ (-0.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.36% ▼ (-2.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.45% ▼ (-1.95)
Under 2.5 46.55% ▲ (+1.96)
Over 3.5 31.17% ▼ (-1.86)
Under 3.5 68.83% ▲ (+1.86)
Over 4.5 15.49% ▼ (-1.33)
Under 4.5 84.51% ▲ (+1.33)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 88.53% ▼ (-0.48)
Under 0.5 11.47% ▲ (+0.48)
Over 1.5 63.69% ▼ (-1.04)
Under 1.5 36.31% ▲ (+1.04)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 47.85% ▼ (-2.10)
Under 0.5 52.15% ▲ (+2.11)
Over 1.5 13.9% ▼ (-1.41)
Under 1.5 86.1% ▲ (+1.41)

Score analysis

Leeds United 72.29%
Draw 17.9%
Millwall 9.8%
Leeds United
2-0 @ 14.02% ▲ (+0.61)
1-0 @ 12.95% ▲ (+0.81)
3-0 @ 10.12% ▲ (+0.26)
2-1 @ 9.13% ▼ (-0.16)
3-1 @ 6.59% ▼ (-0.25)
4-0 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.21)
5-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.22)
5-1 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.12)
4-2 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 72.29%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.48)
2-2 @ 2.97% ▼ (-0.25)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.9%
Millwall
0-1 @ 3.9% ▲ (+0.09)
1-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.17)
0-2 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.8%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 6
Millwall
Sep 17, 2023 12.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
Leeds
  • goal Joel Piroe 15'
  • goal Joel Piroe 77'
  • goal Georginio Rutter 81'
Championship Gameweek 29
Leeds
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Elland Road
Millwall
  • Patrick Bamford 48' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 62' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 64' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 66' goal
  • Patrick Bamford 94' yellowcard
  • goal Shaun Hutchinson 4'
  • goal Jed Wallace 23'
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 26'
Championship Gameweek 11
Millwall
Oct 5, 2019 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Leeds
  • Jed Wallace 16' goal
  • Tom Bradshaw 45' goal
  • Shane Ferguson 45' yellowcard
  • Jayson Molumby 50' yellowcard
  • Murray Wallace 74' yellowcard
  • Bartosz Bialkowski 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Gaetano Berardi 14'
  • goal Ezgjan Alioski 46'
  • yellowcard Luke Ayling 59'
Championship Gameweek 39
Leeds
Mar 30, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Millwall
  • Pablo Hernandez 34' goal
  • Liam Cooper 55' yellowcard
  • Pontus Jansson 65' yellowcard
  • Luke Ayling 71' goal
  • Pablo Hernandez 83' goal
  • Jack Clarke 94' yellowcard
  • yellowcard James Meredith 7'
  • goal Ben Thompson 10'
  • yellowcard Jake Cooper 30'
  • goal Ben Marshall 55'
  • yellowcard Ben Marshall 74'
  • yellowcard David Martin 82'
Championship Gameweek 7
Millwall
Sep 15, 2018 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den (London)
Leeds
  • Jed Wallace 55' goal
  • Jed Wallace 59' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Harrison 89'
Championship
Leeds
Jan 20, 2018 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Millwall
  • Liam Cooper 37' redcard
  • Pontus Jansson 41' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Michel Lasogga 46' goal
  • Kemar Roofe 55' goal
  • Ezgjan Alioski 58' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Michel Lasogga 62' goal
  • Kalvin Phillips 86' yellowcard
  • goal Aiden O'Brien 18'
  • goal Lee Gregory 42'
  • yellowcard Shaun Hutchinson 51'
  • goal Tom Elliott 87'
  • goal Jed Wallace 90'
  • yellowcard Tom Elliott 90'

Form Data

Sheff Weds 0 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 1 - 0 Stoke
Huddersfield 1 - 1 Leeds
Chelsea 3 - 2 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 1 Leicester
Plymouth 0 - 2 Leeds
Millwall 1 - 0 Birmingham
Blackburn 1 - 1 Millwall
Millwall 1 - 0 Watford
Southampton 1 - 2 Millwall
Millwall 0 - 2 Sheff Weds
Millwall 0 - 4 Ipswich