MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 17:51:30| >> :300:86500:86500:
Birmingham logo
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Huddersfield logo
Hull logo
Ipswich logo
Leeds logo
Leicester logo
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Plymouth Argyle
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Rotherham logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Southampton logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Championship header 2

Championship
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 17, 2024 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
Millwall logo

Leeds
2 - 0
Millwall

Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Leeds
Friday, March 8 at 8pm in Championship

Millwall

All competitions
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Birmingham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Millwall

 With Millwall having been the second-best performing side in the Championship over the past four games, they will fancy their chances of success at Elland Road. However, we have to back Leeds' superior quality to shine through, particularly when the stakes are getting higher. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 72.3%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 9.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.43%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (3.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
72.3% (0.249 0.25) 17.9% (0.17 0.17) 9.8% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 42.36% (-2.093 -2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-1.949 -1.95)46.55% (1.952 1.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (-1.858 -1.86)68.83% (1.86 1.86)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.53% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)11.47% (0.474 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.69% (-1.034 -1.03)36.31% (1.037 1.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.85% (-2.097 -2.1)52.15% (2.1 2.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.9% (-1.407 -1.41)86.1% (1.409 1.41)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 72.29%
    Millwall 9.8%
    Draw 17.9%
Leeds UnitedDrawMillwall
2-0 @ 14.02% (0.61 0.61)
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.81 0.81)
3-0 @ 10.12% (0.252 0.25)
2-1 @ 9.13% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.59% (-0.241 -0.24)
4-0 @ 5.48% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.202 -0.2)
5-0 @ 2.37% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.218 -0.22)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.119 -0.12)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.143 -0.14)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 72.29%
1-1 @ 8.43% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.478 0.48)
2-2 @ 2.97% (-0.24 -0.24)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 17.9%
0-1 @ 3.9% (0.085 0.09)
1-2 @ 2.75% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-2 @ 1.27% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 9.8%

How you voted: Leeds vs Millwall

Leeds United
86.2%
Draw
12.1%
Millwall
1.7%
58
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
> Match Report
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Leeds
> Match Report
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
> Match Report
Sep 15, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 7
Millwall
1-1
Leeds
Wallace (55')
Wallace (59')
Harrison (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City441912136556969
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524
> Championship Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!