Championship Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Vicarage Road
  • Vakoun Issouf Bayo 31' goal
  • Emmanuel Dennis 44' goal
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 37'
  • goal Mateo Fernandez 85'

Watford vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Watford

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Birmingham 0 - 1 Watford
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Mileta Rajovic

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 17, 2024 3.00pm
Leeds 2 - 0 Millwall
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Crysencio Summerville

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Watford win was 1-0 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Watford 24.84% (+0.01)
Draw 23.71% (-0.01)
Leeds United 51.45% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.8% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.62% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.38% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.28% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.72% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.28% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.72% (-0.01)

Watford Goals

Over 0.5 67.77% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.23% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 31.28% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.72% (-0.01)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 82.34% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.66%
Over 1.5 51.72%
Under 1.5 48.28%

Score analysis

Watford 24.84%
Draw 23.7%
Leeds United 51.45%
Watford
1-0 @ 6.45%
2-1 @ 6.33% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.65% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.07% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.17%
0-0 @ 5.69% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.7%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 9.87% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 8.56% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.6%
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.17% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.43%
0-4 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 51.45%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Elland Road
  • Georginio Rutter 40' yellowcard
  • Georginio Rutter 40' yellowcard
  • Joel Piroe 67' goal
  • Sam Byram 70' goal
  • Jaidon Anthony 89' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Andrews 43'
  • yellowcard Ryan Andrews 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Bachmann 67'
  • yellowcard Vakoun Issouf Bayo 87'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Apr 9, 2022 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Imran Louza 57' yellowcard
  • Moussa Sissoko 80' yellowcard
  • goal Raphinha 21'
  • goal Rodrigo 73'
  • goal Jack Harrison 85'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Oct 2, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Diego Llorente 18' goal
  • yellowcard Kiko Femenia 59'
  • yellowcard Ismaila Sarr 65'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Dennis 90'
FA Cup
Feb 20, 2016 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Juan Carlos Paredes 32' yellowcard
  • Scott Wootton 53' goal
  • Craig Cathcart 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Bellusci 24'
  • yellowcard Liam Bridcutt 52'
Championship
Feb 28, 2015 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Billy Sharp 7' goal
  • Rodolph Austin 19' goal
  • Lewis Cook 21' yellowcard
  • goal Troy Deeney 39'
  • yellowcard Ben Watson 49'
  • goal Matej Vydra 56'
  • goal Matej Vydra 81'
  • yellowcard Almen Abdi 87'
Championship
Aug 23, 2014 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Fernando Forestieri 20' goal
  • Daniel Tozser 42' yellowcard
  • Gabriele Angella 47' yellowcard
  • Troy Deeney 58' goal
  • Fernando Forestieri 67' goal
  • Daniel Tozser 91' goal
  • goal Gabriel Tamas 32' (OG)
  • redcard Giuseppe Bellusci 57'
  • yellowcard Luke Murphy 85'
  • yellowcard Rodolph Austin 90'
  • redcard Sam Byram 93'