Championship Gameweek 38
Apr 23, 2024 8.00pm
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT King Power Stadium
  • Abdul Fatawu 25' goal
  • Wilfred Ndidi 62' goal
  • Jannik Vestergaard 66' yellowcard
  • Abdul Fatawu 75' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 79' goal
  • Abdul Fatawu 81' goal

Leicester City vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 12.30pm
Leicester 2 - 1 West Brom
Goals scored
89
Top scorer
Jamie Vardy

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
Cardiff 2 - 1 Southampton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.64%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 25.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.75%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result

Leicester City 52.64%
Draw 22.1% (+0.01)
Southampton 25.26%

Both Teams to Score: 

61.83% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.38% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 37.62% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 40.14% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 59.86% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 22.25% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 77.75% (+0.02)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5 85.56% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 14.44% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 57.62% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 42.38% (+0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 72.27% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 27.73% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.3% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Leicester City 52.64%
Draw 22.1%
Southampton 25.26%
Leicester City
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 7.75% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.5% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.2%
3-0 @ 4.84%
3-2 @ 3.98% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.34%
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 52.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.1%
Southampton
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-1 @ 5.14% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.29% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.73%
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 25.26%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 6
Sep 15, 2023 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 3
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Samuel Edozie 25' goal
  • William Smallbone 32' yellowcard
  • Ryan Manning 73' yellowcard
  • Kamal Deen Sulemana 90'+7' redcard
  • goal Jamie Vardy 1'
  • goal Kasey McAteer 18'
  • yellowcard Enzo Maresca 33'
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 39'
  • goal Wilfred Ndidi 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Harry Winks 51'
  • goal Stephy Mavididi 67'
  • yellowcard Abdul Fatawu 73'
  • yellowcard Yunus Akgun 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Carlos Alcaraz 35' goal
Premier League Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Maddison 54' goal
  • Patson Daka 76' yellowcard
  • James Maddison 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mohamed Elyounoussi 64'
  • goal Che Adams 68'
  • yellowcard Joe Aribo 82'
  • goal Che Adams 84'
  • yellowcard Romeo Lavia 90'+4'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 4.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • James Maddison 49' goal
  • Jamie Vardy 74' goal
  • Ayoze Perez 81' goal
  • Ayoze Perez 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Oriol Romeu 70'
  • goal James Ward-Prowse 79'
Premier League Gameweek 14
Dec 1, 2021 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Jan Bednarek 3' goal
  • Che Adams 34' goal
  • Oriol Romeu 48' yellowcard
  • goal Jonny Evans 22'
  • goal James Maddison 49'
  • yellowcard Ademola Lookman 55'
  • yellowcard Wilfred Ndidi 82'
  • yellowcard Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 90'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 30, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jannik Vestergaard 10' redcard
  • Takumi Minamino 50' yellowcard
  • James Ward-Prowse 61' goal
  • goal Jonny Evans 68'