Championship

Championship | Gameweek 41

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

King Power Stadium

Leicester
2 - 1
Birmingham

Dewsbury-Hall (28'), Mavididi (87')
Faes (34'), Mavididi (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Stansfield (45')
James (19'), Bielik (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leicester City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leicester 3-1 Norwich
Monday, April 1 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Birmingham City

All competitions

Last Game: Birmingham 1-0 Preston
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 11.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.14%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.

Result
Leicester City	Draw	Birmingham City
71% ( 0.58)	17.28% ( -0.23)	11.72% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 51.42% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.75% (

0.17)

38.25% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.47% (

0.18)

60.53% (

-0.18)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.43% (

0.18)

9.57% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.98% (

0.42)

32.02% (

-0.42)

Birmingham City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.86% (

-0.47)

43.14% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.59% (

-0.4)

79.41% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Leicester City 70.99%

Birmingham City 11.72%

Draw 17.28%

Leicester City	Draw	Birmingham City
2-0 @ 11.36% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.13) 4-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.97% Total : 70.99%	1-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 1% Total : 17.28%	0-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.28% Total : 11.72%