Championship

Championship | Gameweek 40

Apr 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
3 - 2
Southampton

Davis (13'), Broadhead (68'), Sarmiento (90+7')
Morsy (16'), Taylor (70'), Chaplin (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Adams (14'), Armstrong (23')
Bednarek (90+5')
Bree (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Ipswich Town and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 0-1 Ipswich
Friday, March 29 at 5.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Southampton 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Southampton
51.89% ( -2.37)	20.59% ( 0.54)	27.51% ( 1.82)

Both teams to score 69.86% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.88% (

-1.06)

28.12% (

1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.11% (

-1.33)

48.89% (

1.32)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.61% (

-0.98)

11.39% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.86% (

-2.17)

36.13% (

2.17)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

0.55)

21.16% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97% (

0.85)

54.03% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 51.89%

Southampton 27.51%

Draw 20.59%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.23) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.2) 4-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.07) 5-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.19% Total : 51.89%	1-1 @ 8.13% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.15) Other @ 0.62% Total : 20.59%	1-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.35) 0-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.27) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.16) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) 3-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 27.51%