Championship
Gameweek
40
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fipslog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fsoulog.png)
-
Leif Davis
13'
-
Sam Morsy
16'
-
Nathan Broadhead
68'
-
Jack Taylor
70'
-
Jeremy Sarmiento
90'+7'
-
Conor Chaplin
90'+8'
-
Che Adams
14'
-
Adam Armstrong
23'
-
James Bree
85'
-
Jan Bednarek
90'+5'
Ipswich Town vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F13%2Fipswich-town.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 51.89%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result
Ipswich Town
51.89%
▼
(-2.37)
Draw
20.59%
▲
(+0.55)
Southampton
27.51%
▲
(+1.82)
Both Teams to Score:
69.86%
▼
(-0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.88%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 2.5
28.12%
▲
(+1.06)
Over 3.5
51.11%
▼
(-1.33)
Under 3.5
48.89%
▲
(+1.33)
Over 4.5
31.76%
▼
(-1.25)
Under 4.5
68.23%
▲
(+1.24)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5
88.61%
▼
(-0.99)
Under 0.5
11.39%
▲
(+0.98)
Over 1.5
63.86%
▼
(-2.18)
Under 1.5
36.13%
▲
(+2.17)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
78.83%
▲
(+0.55)
Under 0.5
21.16%
▼
(-0.56)
Over 1.5
45.97%
▲
(+0.85)
Under 1.5
54.03%
▼
(-0.86)
Score analysis
Ipswich Town
51.89%
Draw
20.59%
Southampton
27.51%
Ipswich Town
2-1
@
8.83%
▼
(-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.25)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.30)
4-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.24)
5-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.20)
4-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 51.89%
3-1 @ 6.4% ▼ (-0.27)
2-0 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 5.24% ▲ (+0.13)
3-2 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.13)
3-0 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.25)
4-1 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.30)
4-2 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.18)
4-0 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.24)
5-1 @ 1.51% ▼ (-0.20)
4-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.07)
5-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 51.89%
Draw
1-1
@
8.13%
▲
(+0.33)
2-2 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.59%
2-2 @ 6.86% ▲ (+0.12)
3-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.15)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 20.59%
Southampton
1-2
@
6.31%
▲
(+0.35)
0-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.30)
2-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.17)
2-4 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 27.51%
0-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.30)
2-3 @ 3.55% ▲ (+0.12)
1-3 @ 3.27% ▲ (+0.24)
0-2 @ 2.91% ▲ (+0.27)
0-3 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.17)
2-4 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 27.51%
Head to Head
Championship
Gameweek
7
-
Taylor Harwood-Bellis
59'
-
Che Adams
77'
-
Omari Hutchinson
30'
-
Brandon Williams
38'
-
Jack Taylor
52'
FA Cup
-
Shane Long
19'
FA Cup
-
Morgan Schneiderlin
31'
-
Morgan Schneiderlin
34'
-
Darren Ambrose
19'
-
Christophe Berra
32'
-
Tyrone Mings
53'
Championship
-
Rickie Lambert
74'
-
Dan Harding
87'
-
Daryl Murphy
68'
Championship
-
Damien Delaney
35'
-
Keith Andrews
56'
-
Jay Emmanuel-Thomas
61'
-
Michael Chopra
81'
-
Rickie Lambert
4'
-
Rickie Lambert
11'
-
David Connolly
42'
-
Adam Lallana
76'
-
Frazer Richardson
81'
-
Adam Lallana
90'
Championship
-
Jason Euell
30'
-
Simon Gillett
36'
-
Morgan Schneiderlin
68'
-
Jason Euell
85'