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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Leicester City |
| 25.33% ( | 21.77% ( | 52.9% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.03% ( | 35.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.93% ( | 58.07% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.2% ( | 26.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.91% ( | 62.09% ( |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.22% ( | 13.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.9% ( | 41.1% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 6.35% 1-0 @ 4.86% ( 2-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-1 @ 2.79% ( 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 3-0 @ 1.41% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.33% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 0.33% Total : 21.77% | 1-2 @ 9.55% ( 0-1 @ 7.32% ( 0-2 @ 7.25% ( 1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0-3 @ 4.79% ( 2-3 @ 4.15% ( 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0-4 @ 2.37% ( 2-4 @ 2.06% ( 1-5 @ 1.24% ( 0-5 @ 0.94% ( 3-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.9% |