Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 52.9%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.32%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.