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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
AESSEAL New York Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Rotherham
0 - 1
Plymouth

FT(HT: 0-1)
Mumba (32')

The Match

Match Report

Rotherham United are relegated from the Championship with five games remaining courtesy of a 1-0 loss to Plymouth Argyle.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Rotherham United and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plymouth Argyle in this match.

Result
Rotherham UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
33.22% (-0.119 -0.12)26.19% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)40.58% (0.169 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.08% (0.123 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.58% (0.173 0.17)51.42% (-0.171 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.76% (0.15 0.15)73.23% (-0.149 -0.15)
Rotherham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)29.24% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)65.2% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02% (0.16800000000001 0.17)24.98% (-0.165 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.37% (0.232 0.23)59.62% (-0.229 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Rotherham United 33.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.58%
    Draw 26.19%
Rotherham UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 8.98% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 7.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.52% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.22%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0079999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 10.13% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.64% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.03% (0.018999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 4% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.024 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.02 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.017 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 40.58%

How you voted: Rotherham vs Plymouth

Rotherham United
34.5%
Draw
27.4%
Plymouth Argyle
38.1%
84
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Plymouth
3-2
Rotherham
Azaz (45+5' pen., 52'), Whittaker (90+6')
Lindsay (16'), Eaves (77')
Ayala (25'), Odofin (36'), Nombe (45+3'), Lindsay (49'), Rathbone (90+2'), Johansson (90+3')
Ayala (55')
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Plymouth
0-1
Rotherham

Camara (26'), Edwards (29')
Smith (63')
Barlaser (25'), Rathbone (82')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Rotherham
2-0
Plymouth
Ladapo (10'), Wiles (38')
Barlaser (49'), Lindsay (66')
Apr 28, 2018 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Rotherham
Grant (56'), Carey (90' pen.)
Towell (33')
Williams (51'), Rodak (92')
Dec 16, 2017 3pm
Rotherham
1-1
Plymouth
Ajayi (90')
Towell (36'), Wood (42')
Wood (50')
Taylor (82')
Carey (40'), Taylor (83')