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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Leicester logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Leicester

Longman (59')
Honeyman (11'), Saville (83'), Sarkic (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Winks (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-3 Leicester City

After some vital home victories, a solid away performance at The Den would be a massive statement in the Championship promotion race for Leicester. The wind would have been taken out of Millwall's sails after the last-minute defeat at Huddersfield, and the visit of the league leaders is not an ideal opportunity for the Lions to regain their footing in the highly-competitive relegation battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLeicester City
32.66% (0.631 0.63) 26.17% (0.329 0.33) 41.17% (-0.959 -0.96)
Both teams to score 53.01% (-0.848 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55% (-1.194 -1.19)51.45% (1.195 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74% (-1.051 -1.05)73.26% (1.052 1.05)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.176 -0.18)29.62% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)65.66% (0.217 0.22)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-1.016 -1.02)24.69% (1.016 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.78% (-1.442 -1.44)59.22% (1.442 1.44)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.66%
    Leicester City 41.17%
    Draw 26.16%
MillwallDrawLeicester City
1-0 @ 8.9% (0.375 0.38)
2-1 @ 7.57% (0.065 0.06)
2-0 @ 5.41% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.07% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 7.31% (0.343 0.34)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 8.71% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 7.16% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 4.06% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.47% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 41.17%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leicester

Millwall
15.0%
Draw
13.0%
Leicester City
72.0%
100
Head to Head
Jan 6, 2024 12.30pm
Third Round
Millwall
2-3
Leicester
Watmore (56'), Flemming (86')
Flemming (69')
Casadei (16'), Pereira (39'), Cannon (61')
Cannon (90+3')
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Leicester
3-2
Millwall
Vestergaard (48'), Daka (52'), Pereira (78')
Coady (37'), Faes (82')
Bradshaw (10'), Nisbet (90+3')
Harding (13'), Cooper (21'), Wallace (24'), Saville (75')
Sep 22, 2021 7.45pm
Third Round
Millwall
0-2
Leicester
Lookman (50'), Iheanacho (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
2Leeds UnitedLeeds45279980413990
3Ipswich TownIpswich442612688563290
4Southampton452591185622384
5Norwich CityNorwich4521101479631673
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4520121367472072
7Hull City451913136859970
8Middlesbrough45199176861766
9Coventry CityCoventry4417131468551364
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Bristol City451711175347662
12Cardiff CityCardiff45195215165-1462
13Swansea CitySwansea451512185964-557
14Watford451317156058256
15Sunderland45168215252056
16Millwall451511194455-1156
17Queens Park RangersQPR451411204557-1253
18Stoke CityStoke451411204560-1553
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn451311215874-1650
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds45148234268-2650
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth451212215870-1248
22Birmingham CityBirmingham451211224965-1647
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45918184875-2745
RRotherham UnitedRotherham45412293287-5524


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