Championship

Championship | Gameweek 42

Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Leicester

Longman (59', 59')
Honeyman (11'), Saville (83'), Sarkic (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Winks (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Millwall
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Leicester City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Birmingham
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 41.17%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Leicester City
32.66% ( 0.63)	26.17% ( 0.33)	41.17% ( -0.96)

Both teams to score 53.01% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.55% (

-1.19)

51.45% (

1.2)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.74% (

-1.05)

73.26% (

1.05)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.38% (

-0.18)

29.62% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.34% (

-0.22)

65.66% (

0.22)

Leicester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.32% (

-1.02)

24.69% (

1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.78% (

-1.44)

59.22% (

1.44)

Score Analysis

Millwall 32.66%

Leicester City 41.17%

Draw 26.16%

Millwall	Draw	Leicester City
1-0 @ 8.9% ( 0.38) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 32.66%	1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.34) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16%	0-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 7.16% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.63% Total : 41.17%