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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Watford |
63.25% (![]() | 19.9% (![]() | 16.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.19% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.09% (![]() | 38.9% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.78% (![]() | 61.22% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.28% (![]() | 11.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.17% (![]() | 36.82% (![]() |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.64% (![]() | 36.35% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.86% (![]() | 73.14% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Watford |
2-1 @ 9.91% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.79% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.13% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 4.05% Total : 63.25% | 1-1 @ 9.24% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.01% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.26% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 19.9% | 1-2 @ 4.67% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.58% ( ![]() Other @ 2.42% Total : 16.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Bristol City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Hull City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Luton TownLuton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Middlesbrough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Millwall | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Portsmouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Sunderland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Swansea CitySwansea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Watford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
> Championship Full Table |