Championship
Gameweek
43
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-
William Smallbone
1'
-
Che Adams
20'
-
Ryan Fraser
74'
-
Flynn Downes
90'+9'
-
Ryan Porteous
34'
-
Wesley Hoedt
40'
-
Tom Cleverley
41'
-
Ryan Porteous
55'
-
Edo Kayembe
70'
-
Ismael Kone
85'
Southampton vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 63.25%. A draw had a probability of 19.9% and a win for Watford had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result
Southampton
63.25%
▼
(-0.35)
Draw
19.9%
▲
(+0.17)
Watford
16.84%
▲
(+0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
56.19%
▼
(-0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.09%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 2.5
38.9%
▲
(+0.50)
Over 3.5
38.78%
▼
(-0.54)
Under 3.5
61.22%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 4.5
21.16%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 4.5
78.83%
▲
(+0.42)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
88.28%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
11.71%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 1.5
63.17%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 1.5
36.82%
▲
(+0.52)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
63.64%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 0.5
36.35%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 1.5
26.86%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
73.14%
▲
(+0.11)
Score analysis
Southampton
63.25%
Draw
19.9%
Watford
16.84%
Southampton
2-1
@
9.91%
▲
(+0.02)
2-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 63.25%
2-0 @ 9.79% ▲ (+0.05)
1-0 @ 9.13% ▲ (+0.13)
3-1 @ 7.08% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 3.8% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.58% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 63.25%
Draw
1-1
@
9.24%
▲
(+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.9%
2-2 @ 5.01% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.26% ▲ (+0.10)
3-3 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.9%
Watford
1-2
@
4.67%
▲
(+0.04)
0-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 16.84%
0-1 @ 4.31% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.69% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.58% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 16.84%
Head to Head
FA Cup
-
William Smallbone
21'
-
Tyler Obling
51'
-
Sekou Mara
52'
-
Sekou Mara
58'
-
Che Adams
76'
-
Samuel Edozie
86'
-
Adam Armstrong
87'
-
James Morris
46'
-
Giorgi Chakvetadze
49'
-
Ryan Porteous
69'
-
Francisco Sierralta
75'
FA Cup
-
Matheus Martins
5'
-
Giorgi Chakvetadze
45'
-
Mason Holgate
4'
-
Carlos Alcaraz
40'
-
Stuart Armstrong
89'
Championship
Gameweek
20
-
Ryan Porteous
59'
-
Ismael Kone
61'
-
Wesley Hoedt
87'
-
Rhys Healey
90'+6'
-
Shea Charles
34'
-
Adam Armstrong
45'
-
Che Adams
56'
-
Stuart Armstrong
87'
-
Ryan Fraser
90'+3'
Club Friendlies 1
Premier League
Gameweek
29
-
Mohamed Elyounoussi
45'
-
Romain Perraud
48'
-
Oriol Romeu
65'
-
Jan Bednarek
76'
-
Juan Camilo Hernandez
14'
-
Juan Camilo Hernandez
34'
-
Juan Camilo Hernandez
60'
-
Moussa Sissoko
86'
Premier League
Gameweek
10
-
Joao Pedro
45'+2'
-
Juraj Kucka
76'
-
Che Adams
20'
-
Mohammed Salisu
55'
-
James Ward-Prowse
58'