Championship

Championship | Gameweek 44

Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Cardiff City Stadium

Cardiff
2 - 1
Southampton

Diedhiou (68'), Ashford (90+6')
Phillips (82')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Aribo (12')
Armstrong (43'), Deen Sulemana (81'), Bednarek (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 3-1 Cardiff
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Southampton

All competitions

Last Game: Southampton 3-0 Preston
Tuesday, April 16 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 54.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 22.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 2-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Southampton
22.46% ( 0.02)	22.67% ( 0)	54.87% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 56.4% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.75% (

0.02)

43.24% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35% (

0.02)

65.64% (

-0.02)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88% (

0.03)

33.11% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28% (

0.03)

69.71% (

-0.03)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.33% (

-0)

15.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.3%

44.7% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 22.46%

Southampton 54.87%

Draw 22.66%

Cardiff City	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 5.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.17% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.46%	1-1 @ 10.62% 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.66%	1-2 @ 9.85% 0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.91% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-3 @ 5.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.05% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.61% Total : 54.87%