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Championship | Gameweek 36
Apr 16, 2024 at 8pm UK
St. Mary's Stadium
Preston North End logo

Southampton
3 - 0
Preston

Adams (19', 29'), Armstrong (33')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Mawene (1'), Lowe (2'), Holmes (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Southampton and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Southampton 3-2 Watford
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 0-1 Norwich
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Southampton 2-1 Preston North End

Considering that an average of 3.9 goals have been scored across the last seven competitive meetings between these two teams, another entertaining end-to-end contest could be on the cards on Wednesday. Both sides will fancy their chances of claiming three precious points, but we believe that Southampton, motivated by recent slip-ups from Leicester and Leeds, will find a way to come out on top on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
69.11% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 18.45% (0.0010000000000012 0) 12.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 49.58% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.15% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)41.85% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)64.25% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)11.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)35.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)44.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.64% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)80.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Southampton 69.09%
    Preston North End 12.44%
    Draw 18.45%
SouthamptonDrawPreston North End
2-0 @ 11.86%
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 69.09%
1-1 @ 8.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.45%
0-1 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-2 @ 3.57%
0-2 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.07%
1-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 12.44%

How you voted: Southampton vs Preston

Southampton
82.6%
Draw
6.6%
Preston North End
10.8%
213
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Preston
2-2
Southampton
Osmajic (52'), Potts (55')
Whiteman (42'), Millar (80'), Cunningham (90+1')
Walker-Peters (33'), Evans (90+6' og.)
Smallbone (22'), Bazunu (45+1'), Bednarek (90+8')
Jul 20, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Preston
1-3
Southampton
Bodin (19')
Ings (11', 44'), Vokins (82')
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Southampton
3-1
Preston
Surman (19'), Saganowski (29', 42')
Euell (74')
Wallace (73')
Nov 1, 2008 3pm
Preston
2-3
Southampton
Jones (36'), Elliott (42')
Pearce (64'), Surman (69'), McGoldrick (90')
McGoldrick (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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