Championship Gameweek 36
Apr 16, 2024 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT St. Mary's Stadium
  • Che Adams 19' goal
  • Che Adams 29' goal
  • Stuart Armstrong 33' goal
  • yellowcard Noah Mawene 1'
  • yellowcard Ryan Lowe 2'
  • yellowcard Duane Holmes 23'

Southampton vs Preston North End - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Southampton 3 - 2 Watford
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Adam Armstrong

Preston North End

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Preston 0 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Will Keane

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 69.11%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Preston North End had a probability of 12.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Preston North End win it was 0-1 (3.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result

Southampton 69.11% (-0.01)
Draw 18.45% (+0.01)
Preston North End 12.44% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.58% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 58.15% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 41.85% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 35.75% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 64.25% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 18.83% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 81.17% (+0.01)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5 88.99% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 11.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 64.7% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 35.3% (+0.01)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5 55.71% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 44.28% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 19.64% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 80.35% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Southampton 69.09%
Draw 18.45%
Preston North End 12.44%
Southampton
2-0 @ 11.86%
1-0 @ 10.75%
2-1 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.73% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.11% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.92% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9%
5-0 @ 2.13% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.89%
Total : 69.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.76% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.87% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.94%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 18.45%
Preston North End
0-1 @ 3.97% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.57%
0-2 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 12.44%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 13
Oct 25, 2023 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Deepdale
  • Ben Whiteman 42' yellowcard
  • Milutin Osmajic 52' goal
  • Brad Potts 55' goal
  • Liam Millar 80' yellowcard
  • Greg Cunningham 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard William Smallbone 22'
  • goal Kyle Walker-Peters 33'
  • yellowcard Gavin Bazunu 45'+1'
  • goal Ched Evans 90'+6' (OG)
  • yellowcard Jan Bednarek 90'+8'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 20, 2019 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Billy Bodin 19' goal
  • goal Danny Ings 11'
  • goal Danny Ings 44'
  • goal Jake Vokins 82'
Championship
Feb 21, 2009 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Drew Surman 19' goal
  • Marek Saganowski 29' goal
  • Marek Saganowski 42' goal
  • Jason Euell 74' yellowcard
  • goal Ross Wallace 73'
Championship
Nov 1, 2008 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Billy Jones 36' goal
  • Stephen Elliott 42' goal
  • goal Alex Pearce 64'
  • goal Drew Surman 69'
  • goal David McGoldrick 90'
  • yellowcard David McGoldrick 90'
Championship
Dec 22, 2007 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship
Oct 2, 2007 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Karl Hawley 12' goal
  • Matt Hill 25' yellowcard
  • Callum Davidson 54' yellowcard
  • Darren Carter 58' goal
  • Chris Sedgwick 66' yellowcard
  • Chris Sedgwick 75' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 83' goal
  • Patrick Agyemang 90' goal
  • yellowcard Alexander Ostlund 34'
  • goal Billy Jones 45' (OG)

Build-up

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