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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 43.04% ( | 26.16% ( | 30.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.34% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.02% ( | 51.98% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.28% ( | 73.72% ( |
| Birmingham City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( | 23.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.78% ( | 58.22% ( |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.85% ( | 31.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.52% ( | 67.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Birmingham City | Draw | Cardiff City |
| 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 2-0 @ 7.62% ( 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 3-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 4-1 @ 1.51% ( 4-0 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 43.03% | 1-1 @ 12.44% ( 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.16% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 1-2 @ 7.26% ( 0-2 @ 5.08% ( 1-3 @ 2.82% ( 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.98% ( Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.81% |