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Championship | Gameweek 42
Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Birmingham
0 - 1
Cardiff


Bielik (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowler (65')
Ng (47'), Bowler (58'), Ralls (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Birmingham City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Hull City
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
43.04% (-0.178 -0.18)26.16% (0.13 0.13)30.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 52.34% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.02% (-0.506 -0.51)51.98% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.28% (-0.441 -0.44)73.72% (0.43899999999999 0.44)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.02% (-0.31 -0.31)23.98% (0.308 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.78% (-0.444 -0.44)58.22% (0.443 0.44)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85% (-0.22499999999999 -0.22)31.15% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.52% (-0.262 -0.26)67.48% (0.259 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 43.03%
    Cardiff City 30.81%
    Draw 26.16%
Birmingham CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.66% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.62% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.23% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.025 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.03%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.149 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.16%
0-1 @ 8.71% (0.121 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.08% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.98% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.81%

How you voted: Birmingham vs Cardiff

Birmingham City
55.8%
Draw
17.4%
Cardiff City
26.7%
86
Head to Head
Dec 13, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Cardiff
0-1
Birmingham

Meite (55')
Bacuna (45+3')
Sunjic (42'), Dembele (63')
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
Second Round
Birmingham
1-3
Cardiff
Hogan (70')
Oakley (35'), Cosgrove (76')
Jutkiewicz (56')
Colwill (3'), Wintle (68'), Etete (90+4')
Rinomhota (23'), Etete (50'), Romeo (90+3')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Birmingham
0-2
Cardiff
Ng (84'), Robinson (90+5')
Aug 13, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cardiff
1-0
Birmingham
Philogene-Bidace (17')
Ojo (90+1')

Hogan (51'), James (70'), Trusty (90'), Colin (90+6')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Cardiff
1-1
Birmingham
Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')
rhs 2.0


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