Club Friendlies 3
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Scott Quigley
57'
-
Adam Armstrong
7'
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Adam Armstrong
17'
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William Smallbone
39'
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Sekou Mara
50'
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Ryan Manning
71'
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Yukinari Sugawara
78'
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Carlos Alcaraz
83'
Eastleigh vs Southampton - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 10.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-3 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 2-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
Result
Eastleigh
10.96%
▲
(+0.14)
Draw
15.93%
▲
(+0.10)
Southampton
73.12%
▼
(-0.24)
Both Teams to Score:
54.01%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
33.67%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
44.51%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 3.5
55.49%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 4.5
25.88%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
74.12%
▲
(+0.04)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5
58.67%
▲
(+0.23)
Under 0.5
41.33%
▼
(-0.22)
Over 1.5
22.15%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 1.5
77.85%
▼
(-0.20)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5
92.05%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
7.95%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
71.93%
▼
(-0.15)
Under 1.5
28.07%
▲
(+0.15)
Score analysis
Eastleigh
10.96%
Draw
15.93%
Southampton
73.12%
Eastleigh
2-1
@
3.25%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 10.96%
1-0 @ 2.9% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 1.28% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 10.96%
Draw
1-1
@
7.35%
▲
(+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.93%
2-2 @ 4.11% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 3.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 15.93%
Southampton
0-2
@
10.53%
▼
(-0.05)
1-2 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-6 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.11%
1-6 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 73.12%
1-2 @ 9.31% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 8.89% ▼ (-0.06)
0-1 @ 8.32% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 5.63% ▼ (-0.06)
1-4 @ 4.97% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.47% ▲ (+0.02)
0-5 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.04)
1-5 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-6 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.11%
1-6 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 73.12%