Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 73.12%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 10.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-3 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.35%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 2-1 (3.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.

Result
Eastleigh	Draw	Southampton
10.96% ( 0.14)	15.93% ( 0.09)	73.12% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 54.01% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.33% (

-0.04)

33.67% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.51% (

-0.04)

55.49% (

0.04)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67% (

0.22)

41.33% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15% (

0.19)

77.85% (

-0.19)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.05% (

-0.06)

7.95% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.93% (

-0.15)

28.07% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Eastleigh 10.96%

Southampton 73.12%

Draw 15.93%

Eastleigh	Draw	Southampton
2-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.36% Total : 10.96%	1-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 15.93%	0-2 @ 10.53% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 8.89% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.86% ( -0) 0-4 @ 5.63% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 2.85% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.11% 1-6 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 73.12%