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National League | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Lner Community Stadium
Eastleigh

York City
0 - 1
Eastleigh


Fallowfield (74'), Howe (84'), Chadwick (84'), John-Lewis (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Croll (83')
J (24')
Coverage of the National League clash between York City and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Halifax 1-1 York City
Tuesday, April 2 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 2-3 Maidenhead
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 25.39% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.57%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
York CityDrawEastleigh
52.61% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)22% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)25.39% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Both teams to score 62.37% (0.119 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.02% (0.11 0.11)36.98% (-0.114 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.83% (0.12 0.12)59.16% (-0.124 -0.12)
York City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.77% (0.0049999999999955 0)14.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.03% (0.015000000000001 0.02)41.96% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (0.131 0.13)27.29% (-0.135 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27% (0.172 0.17)62.72% (-0.176 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    York City 52.61%
    Eastleigh 25.39%
    Draw 22%
York CityDrawEastleigh
2-1 @ 9.59% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.38% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 4.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.04% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.19%
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 52.61%
1-1 @ 9.83% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22%
1-2 @ 6.38% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.017 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 25.39%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Eastleigh
3-1
York City
Maguire (33'), McCallum (60', 76')
Taylor (57')
Howe (62')
Kennedy (44'), John-Lewis (90+3'), Marsh (90+3')
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Eastleigh
1-0
York City
Kelly (51')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
York City
0-1
Eastleigh
McKiernan (42')
Hesketh (22'), Panter (34')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
York City
3-1
Eastleigh
Parkin (7', 13'), Oliver (80')
Heslop (61')
Stearn (16')
Johnson (86')
Nov 12, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0


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