National League | Gameweek 39

Mar 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Hive Stadium

Barnet
2 - 1
Eastleigh

Gorman (18'), O'Donkor (38')
Coker (32'), Hartigan (47'), Hall-Johnson (54')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Maguire (42')
Quigley (76')

Coverage of the National League clash between Barnet and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Woking 1-0 Barnet
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Eastleigh 1-4 Rochdale
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 67.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 14.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 3-1 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Barnet in this match.

Result
Barnet	Draw	Eastleigh
67.71% ( -0.34)	17.59% ( 0.15)	14.7% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 59.63% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.89% (

-0.32)

32.1% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.31% (

-0.37)

53.69% (

0.37)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.28% (

-0.16)

8.72% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.01% (

-0.39)

29.99% (

0.39)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.32% (

0.04)

34.67% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.6% (

0.04)

71.4% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Barnet 67.71%

Eastleigh 14.7%

Draw 17.59%

Barnet	Draw	Eastleigh
2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.3% Total : 67.71%	1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 17.59%	1-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 14.7%