National League | Gameweek 35

Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Court Place Farm

Oxford City
2 - 5
Eastleigh

Potter (73'), Lumeka (90+4')
Fleet (10'), Phillips (38'), Ashby (62'), Potter (75'), Potter (75')

FT(HT: 0-4)

McCallum (1', 8'), Francillette (11'), Quigley (41'), Taylor (52')
Taylor (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and Eastleigh.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford City 0-0 Southend
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eastleigh

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Eastleigh
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 47.57%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Eastleigh
47.57% ( 2.77)	23.79% ( -0.38)	28.63% ( -2.39)

Both teams to score 58.91% (

-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.18% (

0.45)

42.82% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.78% (

0.44)

65.22% (

-0.44)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.82% (

1.32)

18.18% (

-1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.83% (

2.2)

49.17% (

-2.19)

Eastleigh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.99% (

-1.36)

28.01% (

1.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.35% (

-1.77)

63.65% (

1.78)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 47.58%

Eastleigh 28.64%

Draw 23.78%

Oxford City	Draw	Eastleigh
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.42) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( 0.25) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.59% Total : 47.58%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.09% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.78%	1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.4) 0-1 @ 6.48% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.42) 1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.78% Total : 28.64%