National League | Gameweek 30

Jan 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Court Place Farm

Oxford City
1 - 2
York City

William-Bushell (61')
Fleet (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Akinyemi (45+1'), Davies (90+2')

Coverage of the National League clash between Oxford City and York City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford City

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Oxford City
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

York City

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 York City
Sunday, January 7 at 2pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a York City win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 31.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a York City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that York City would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	York City
31.52% ( -0.02)	25.2% ( -0.01)	43.28% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.77% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.32% (

0.02)

47.68% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.12% (

0.02)

69.88% (

-0.02)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.5% (

-0)

28.5% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.73% (

-0)

64.28% (

0.01)

York City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78% (

0.02)

22% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.69% (

0.03)

55.31% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 31.52%

York City 43.28%

Draw 25.19%

Oxford City	Draw	York City
1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.07% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 31.52%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 9.49% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 43.28%