Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 38.98% ( | 24.95% ( | 36.07% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.86% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.51% ( | 45.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.17% ( | 67.82% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% ( | 23.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( | 57.02% ( |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( | 24.7% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( | 59.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 3-1 @ 4.18% ( 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 38.98% | 1-1 @ 11.7% 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0-0 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.36% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.95% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( 0-1 @ 8% ( 0-2 @ 5.59% ( 1-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0-4 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 36.07% |