Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Oxford City had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Oxford City win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 33.89% ( | 25.44% ( | 40.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.98% ( | 48.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.81% ( | 70.19% ( |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.84% ( | 27.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.44% ( | 62.56% ( |
| Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( | 23.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.59% ( | 57.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Kidderminster Harriers |
| 1-0 @ 8.29% ( 2-1 @ 7.84% ( 2-0 @ 5.4% ( 3-1 @ 3.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.47% 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.02% Total : 33.89% | 1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 2-2 @ 5.69% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 9.23% ( 1-2 @ 8.74% ( 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 1-3 @ 4.23% ( 0-3 @ 3.24% ( 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.67% |