National League | Gameweek 21

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Aggborough Stadium

Kidderminster
1 - 1
Hartlepool

Morgan-Smith (31')
McNally (81')

FT(HT: 1-2)

McNally (7' og.)
Mattock (45'), Ferguson (90+1'), Hastie (90+1'), Wallace (90')

Coverage of the National League clash between Kidderminster Harriers and Hartlepool United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kidderminster Harriers

All competitions

National League

Last Game: Kidderminster 0-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: York City 1-3 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Hartlepool United
38.54% ( 0.06)	25.8% ( 0.01)	35.67% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 54.87% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

-0.06)

49.33% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

-0.05)

71.38% (

0.05)

Kidderminster Harriers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.89% (

25.11% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.19% (

0.01)

59.81% (

-0)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.27% (

-0.07)

26.72% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.01% (

-0.09)

61.99% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Kidderminster Harriers 38.54%

Hartlepool United 35.67%

Draw 25.79%

Kidderminster Harriers	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 38.54%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.79%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.15% Total : 35.67%