National League | Gameweek 19

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Northern Gas and Power Stadium

Hartlepool
2 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Dieseruvwe (6'), Hastie (90')
Ferguson (50'), Johnson (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Clifford (9'), Samuel (90+5')
Clifford (50'), Domi (75')

Coverage of the National League clash between Hartlepool United and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-3 Rochdale
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Ebbsfleet

All competitions

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 56.25%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 22.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Hartlepool United	Draw	Ebbsfleet
56.25% ( -0.03)	21.21% ( 0.02)	22.53% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 61.68% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.65% (

-0.09)

36.35% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.52% (

-0.1)

58.47% (

0.1)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11% (

-0.04)

12.89% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.7% (

-0.08)

39.29% (

0.08)

Ebbsfleet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8% (

-0.04)

29.2% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.85% (

-0.05)

65.14% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Hartlepool United 56.25%

Ebbsfleet 22.53%

Draw 21.21%

Hartlepool United	Draw	Ebbsfleet
2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.39% 3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 4.01% Total : 56.25%	1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.21%	1-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 22.53%